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BIO II: Exam 2

Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

TermDefinition
What happens when sources are GREATER than sinks? Atmospheric CO2 rises
The concentration of CO2 is a snapshot of of the fluxes at any time (T/F?) FALSE It is a product of what came before
What is the concentration of CO2? 425.48 (OR 422, 423) ppm
Feedbacks Agents of stability or rapid change
Negative Feedbacks - Promote changes that lead BACK toward EQUILIBRIUM - “overshoot, undershoot, overshoot, undershoot” - Ex: Predator/ Prey Dynamics
Positive Feedbacks - Systems that promote further change toward an EXTREME - “build, build, build, CRASH” - Ex: Labor , Avalanche
The Physics of Gases Warm air holds MORE water vapor (a GHG)
4 CC Feedback Cycles 1) Albedo Feedback 2) Permafrost Feedback 3) Water Vapor Feedback 4) Ocean CO2 Feedback
What are the effects of climate change on the water cycle? Changes precipitation distribution (WHERE and WHEN precip will fall) - More episodic precip (less frequent) - More intense (more precip in heavy rain events) - Increasing Drought and Flooding - Shifting weather patterns and stronger storms/LESS snow
What does warm air and warm water mean? Warm air = holds MORE water vapor Warm Water = holds LESS dissolved gas (CO2)
Rate vs. amount of GHG's - Speed of change stresses ecosystems more than absolute CO₂ - Plants and animals will have trouble keeping up
How do we know about what happened in the past with climate change? Proxy data
Proxy Data - Data we can collect to infer something else (that we can’t measure) based on an established relationship - Ex: Ice cores, tree rings, otoliths, etc.
What is highly correlated in history? Climate and Carbon
What is the relationship between each of the 4 CC Feedback Cycles? They're all POSITIVE feedback cycles, they each AMPLIFY warming
Water Vapor Feedback Warmer air holds more water vapor (a GHG) → amplifies warming
Ocean CO2 Feedback Warm water holds less CO₂ → oceans release CO₂ → amplifies warming
Albedo Feedback Ice melts → darker surface absorbs more heat → more ice melt
Permafrost Feedback Thawing soil releases CO₂ + methane → methane is ~25× stronger than CO₂
Models - Simplified representations of reality that help us understand system behavior - Used to make predictions
Future Climate Change (range) Average Global Temperature INCREASES by between 1 and 4℃ by 2100
Ice Cores What are they and why are they unique? - Direct CO₂ & CH₄ levels + temp history - Offer continuous direct records of past atmospheric composition and temperature, preserve a vast array of climate-forcing information
Why is current CC isn’t natural? - Rate is too FAST - GHG levels far above natural cycles.
Climate envelope - Range of conditions where a species can live - Shifts poleward/upward with warming
Assisted migration Humans help species move
Phenologic mismatch - Timing mismatches - Ex: Flowers bloom before pollinators arrive
Higher Emissions Continued rate of CO2 increase through the end of the century
Lower Emissions Reduced rates of CO2 input into the atmosphere beginning now
Is poleward or upward easier for animals to migrate to w/ CC? Upward
What kinds of organisms are most susceptible to being “left behind” by their climate envelopes Plants
Options if organisms cannot keep up with CC? 1) Adapt/evolve (possible, but can be slow and requires large genetic diversity) 2) Extinction (some organisms are more susceptible to this than others)
Phenology - The timing of seasonal changes in plants and animals - The result of earlier spring / longer growing season - Ex: Flowering, migration, calving, molting, etc
How is human behavior different if we follow the high vs low emissions scenarios? HIGH = human behavior shaped by escalating negative impacts of climate change, which leads to greater distress, conflict & risk-taking LOW = widespread pro-environmental behaviors, social cooperation
How will climate envelopes change with climate change? They will shift (don't rlly know exactly how)
High vs Low RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) High (RCP 8.5) = Business as usual - current trajectory Low (RCP 2.6) = Immediate reductions in emissions
Which pool has the LOWEST albedo? WATER - Oceans hold the most heat
Created by: emily.zegarra
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