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Big boy IR
final frontier
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Nuclear Deterrence | Neither side will fire a bomb, if you fire one at us we'll fire all of ours at you, |
| MAD | Mutually assured destruction. you fire one we fire em all |
| H-Bomb | Uses fusion, mo' powerful, US get deliverable '54 soviets 53 |
| After hiroshima | US is the only super power and can use the bomb on anyone but doesn't. later russia get's it |
| Effects of nukes | Fission device, known effect: 7000F heat 3-4 mile blast radius radiation Unknown effects: nuclear winter(dust blocks out the sun, electronic pulse oceans 11) |
| Manhatten project | endorsed by fdr to make the bomb, captured german scientists helped US make it, trinity was the first detonation |
| Clauswitz | Say that Military and govt should be seperated, war is politics by other means. it is rational and goal orientated |
| Democratic peace theory | democracies are less likely to fight was/ not well supported democracies are less likely to fight wars against other democracies |
| Perception, misperception, Rationale: Ways Individual Decision-Makers Diverge from Rationality | How you see things affect how decisions are made • Perceptions and misperceptions are rational, but depend on the individual |
| Affect, or Affective Bias: Ways Individual Decision-Makers Diverge from Rationality | How individuals feel, like, or dislike • We are more likely to deal favorably with people we like whether or not they are good. |
| Cognitive Bias: : Ways Individual Decision-Makers Diverge from Rationality | How you think |
| Wishful thinking | a cognitive bias: hoping things will work out |
| Mirror image | thinking the enemy would do what you would do buy disregarding there personal experinces |
| historical analogy | comparing one event to another, munich analogy:never appease vietnam analogy: war is a quagmire |
| enemy image | see the enemy only as an enemy |
| Rational model allisons model | Assumes the process is rational and predictable 1. Clarify goals 2. which goal are most important (clarify 3. List alternative policies 4. Investigate consequences of likely policies 3. Select the “Best” or most rational policy |
| Bureaucratic/ govt model allison | diff agencies with competing interest fight over stuff to make decision |
| Organizational process model allison | uses standard operation procedure to make decisions |
| Govt mangement model not allison | 1 everyone give opinion 2 reduce everything to a decision 3 reduced group of dm most trusted advisors only decide among the given decisions dont make new ones |
| nixon kissinger not allison | leader has interest in fp, leader and advisor agree on fp, domestic and international allow leaders to make fp decisions (no advising from the cabinet |
| Groupthink | individuals side with one as opposed to voicing their one opinions |
| bounded rationality | can't be completely rational because all things are limited |
| satificing | good enough not the best out come |
| War | violence carried out by military's of states indorsed/ declared by govt |
| hegemonic war | war over global control |
| total war | war to capture the enemies capital and take land/take over govt |
| limited war | single/limited objectives, raids and such |
| civil war | seek control of the state govt by one group in the state or seeking to seceded from a state |
| guerrilla war | waging war hidden and protected by civilians |
| terrorism | criminal acts against civilians in order to intimidate the population into doing what u want is rational not like war no goals no |
| Over determined | every cause can be scrutinized and every cause can be justified |
| WWI | august 1924, major actors: russian germany britan france austria-hungary |
| WW1 history | naploleonic wars end 1815 no germany no italy A-H weak after the wars russia's big and hard to control uk is doing work around the world still powerful money and guns prussia small divided great military |
| bismark | did everything to increase prussia's power |
| July crisis | the archduke is killed, AH goes after serbia, AH gives them a over 200 demands they must meet or they'll go to war, AH looks for support from germany and they give them teir full support |
| james joll | war was multi causal and if anything was stopped the war wouldn't have happened |
| plan 17 | All of the french military is on the germany borders to fight them and capture berlin |
| german encirclement | france and russia are allies surrounding germany |
| cult of offense | attack and that's it. france does it first everyone copies |
| deterrence | trying to get the enemy not to do something by threatening them |
| when did the us get it's first nuke | 1945 |
| when did the soviet union get their first nuke | 1949 |
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