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OP MA

CHAPTER 2

QuestionAnswer
A set of tools for operations manager Quantitative methods
A set of quantitative decision-making techniques for decision situations in which uncertainty exists Decision analysis
Method for organizing and illustrating payoffs from different decisions given various states of nature Payoff table
It is the outcome of a decision Payoff
Choose decision with the maximum of the maximum payoffs Maximax
Choose decision with the maximum of the minimum payoffs Maximin
Choose decision with the minimum of the maximum regrets for each alternative Minimax regret
Choose decision in which decision payoffs are weighted by a coefficient of optimism, alpha. coefficient of optimism is a measure of a decision maker’s optimism, from 0 (completely pessimistic) to 1 (completely optimistic) Hurwicz
Choose decision in which each state of nature is weighted equally Equal likelihood (La Place)
A weighted average of decision outcomes in which each future state of nature is assigned a probability of occurrence Expected value
The maximum value that a decision maker would be willing to pay for perfect information about future states of nature Expected value of perfect information (EVP)
Created by: rainee_
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