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risk

exam 2

QuestionAnswer
Information Attributes Volume, Dispute, Dramatization and symbolic connotation
Amplification Stations Amplified Nuclear energy after three-mile island Attenuated: Random, smoking, Driving
Response mechanism Heuristics and value, Signal value, social group relationship, Stigmatization: love canal
Group relationship: : ideological polarization
Volume: availability heuristic;
Dispute: increase unknown and uncertainty;
Dramatization: increase fear and dread factor; Opera and Mad Cow Disease.
Symbolic connotation: mushroom clouds for nuclear energy, dumps for waste disposal facilities, thugs for illegal immigrants, etc.
Media coverage on air pollution was scarce in China until 2013 At the peak of this media attention was the release of a documentary titled Under the Dome produced by a famous journalist, Chai Jing, in 2015.
Impersonal Impact Hypothesis Media reports influence judgments about societal risks but not personal risks
Internal certainty balanced condition less than all other conditions except for prolink article
External certainty: only balanced less than antilink
Divide: balanced condition more than antilink condition
Optimistic Bias Consistent optimistic bias exists concerning personal risk when asked about their own chances of experiencing negative consequences, people claim that they are less likely to be affected than others
Risk examples Almost all newlyweds in a US study expected their marriage to last a lifetime, even while aware of the divorce statistics
Why do biases occur? High-risk groups downplay the risk, Desire to be better than, Simple cognitive error
Event Characteristics Testing the limits of Optimistic Bias Frequency (less bias) Controllability (more bias) Stereotype salience (more bias)
Testing the limits of Optimistic Bias Individual Differences Trait Anxiety – higher self-risk (less bias) Anxious people are more sensitive to threatening events and see themselves as similar to a typical victim Self-Esteem – strong main effects, lower self-risk (more bias)
H1N1 Vaccination Example Older populations develop stronger immune defense systems from the seasonal flu virus mutation, people between 20 and 40 were at higher risk for infection
Over-confidence or collective optimism? Current knowledge leads to lower information sufficiency threshold Higher perceived gathering capacity led to less seeking intention Higher perceived efficacy led to lower behavioral intention
Pleasantness: Valence
Effort & Attention: evaluations of the coping potential of the stimulus – post-appraisal in nature
Certainty: how likely the appraised event will exert influences on the individual
Control: situational control vs human control – agency
Responsibility: attribution of the causal responsibility of the event being appraised – Self or other
Election as Risk Risk as uncertainty Appraisal dimensions Information seeking
Fear Low certainty – information seeking (Tiedens & Linton, 2001) High situational control Concrete and sudden danger
Anger High certainty Strong human control Optimistic risk judgment
Fear Appeals Designed to scare people by describing what will happen if they do not follow the message’s recommendation.
Threat Appraisal Perceived Susceptibility (is it likely to happen to you?) Perceived Severity (if it happens to you, how serious will it be?) Think about the text while driving example again.
Efficacy Appraisal How effective is the recommended action to prevent/minimize the threat? Response efficacy (effectiveness of the recommended action) Self-efficacy (feasibility, ease of adoption - can you do it?)
Possible Outcomes No Response Fear Control - Defense Motivation – Maladaptive Changes Danger Control – Protection Motivation – Adaptive Changes Boomerang Effect
Fear control process (unable to deal with threat – reduce fear internally)
Danger control process (able to deal with threat – follow the recommended action)
Nabi and Myrick Findings: hopeful feelings generated by fear appeals may enhance message effectiveness, especially for those who believe they can perform the target behavior
Gain-frame ; leads to risk averse decisions
Loss-frame leads to risk seeking decisions.
to an epidemic, for example, most respondents found sure loss of 75 lives" more aversive than “80% chance to lose 100 lives" but preferred “chance to lose 75 lives" over “8% chance to lose 100 lives”.
The difference in subjective value between gains of $10 and $20 is greater than the subjective difference between gains of $110 and $120 (similar for losses);
The difference in subjective value Response to losses is more extreme than responses to gains
Framing Effect * Certainty exaggerates the aversiveness of losses
Key components of a narrative Character Temporality Causality
Created by: leanamar
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