Review of Basic Probability Rules
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show | Probability is a measure of the likelihood of a random phenomenon or chance behavior. Probability describes the long-term proportion with which a certain outcome will occur in situations with short-term uncertainty.
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show | As the number of repetitions of a probability experiment increases, the proportion with which a certain outcome is observed gets closer to the probability of the outcome.
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How is the term "experiment" used with respect to probability? | show 🗑
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show | The sample space, S, of a probability experiment is the collection of all possible outcomes.
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What is an Event? | show 🗑
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show | A probability model lists the possible outcomes of a probability experiment and each outcome’s probability and must satisfy two rules: 1) 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1, for any event E , and 2) the sum of the probabilities of all the outcomes must equal 1.
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What is the probability of an impossible event? | show 🗑
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What is the probability of a certain event? | show 🗑
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show | In general, P(E) = N(E)/N(S). Since there are 3 ways for “E” to occur and there is a total of 10 outcomes in “S”, P(E) = 3/10 = 0.3.
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How is the probability of an event, E, approximated using the Empirical approach? | show 🗑
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show | Two events are disjoint if they have no outcomes in common. Another name for disjoint events is mutually exclusive events.
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show | If two events E and F are disjoint (or mutually exclusive), P(E or F) = P(E) + P(F).
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What is the General Addition Rule for P(E or F)? | show 🗑
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show | Let S denote the sample space of a probability experiment and let E denote an event. The complement of E, denoted EC, is the set of all outcomes in the sample space S that are not outcomes in the event E.
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State the Complement Rule. | show 🗑
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show | Two events E and F are independent if the occurrence of event E in a probability experiment does not affect the probability of event F.
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What do we mean by "dependent" events? | show 🗑
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show | The notation P(F | E) is read “the probability of event F given event E”. It is the probability of an event F given the occurrence of the event E.
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Give the formula for computing conditional probability. | show 🗑
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What is the Multiplication Rule for DEPENDENT events? | show 🗑
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show | P(E and F) = P(E) ∙ P(F)
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