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MG 302 Mod 7
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Decision: • | a choice made from available alternatives |
| Decision making: | the process of identifying problems and opportunities and then resolving them |
| • Programmed decisions: | involve situations that have occurred often enough to enable decision rules to be developed and applied in the future |
| • Nonprogrammed decisions: | made in response to situations that are unique, are poorly defined and largely unstructured, and have important consequences for the organization |
| Certainty: | situation in which all information the decision maker needs is fully available. |
| • Risk: | decision has clear-cut goals and good information is available, but future outcomes associated with each alternative are subject to chance of loss or failure. |
| • Uncertainty: | goals are known, but information about alternatives and future events is incomplete. |
| Ambiguity: | goals to be achieved or problems to be solved are unclear, alternatives are difficult to define, and information about outcomes is unavailable |
| Classical model: | based on rational economic assumptions and manager beliefs about what ideal decision making should be |
| Normative: | how a decision maker should make a decision |
| Administrative model: | use of a rational decision-making process within the limits of human and environmental factors |
| • Descriptive: | how managers actually make decisions in complex situations |
| • Bounded rationality: | people have limits or boundaries on how rational they can be |
| • Satisficing: | choosing the first solution that satisfies minimal decision criteria |
| Intuition: ht | quick apprehension of decision situation based on experience but without conscious thought |
| • Quasirationality: | combining intuitive and analytical thought |
| Coalition: | informal alliance among managers who support specific goal |
| Directive style: | prefer simple, clear-cut solutions to problems |
| • Analytical style: | base decisions on all available rational data |
| • Conceptual style | : use a broad amount of information to solve problems creatively |
| • Behavioral style: | exhibit a deep concern regarding effect of decision on others |
| Anchoring bias: | occurs when we allow initial impressions, statistics, and estimates to act as anchors to our subsequent thoughts and judgements |
| Loss aversion: | stronger response to a potential loss than to an expected gain |
| Confirmation bias: | occurs when a manager puts too much value on evidence that is consistent with a favored belief or viewpoint and discounts evidence that contradicts it |
| Brainstorming: | uses a face-to-face interactive group to spontaneously suggest as many ideas as possible for solving a problem |
| • Electronic brainstorming: | brings people together in an interactive group over a computer network |
| Devil’s advocate: | person assigned the role of challenging the assumptions and assertions made by the group |
| Groupthink: | tendency of people in groups to suppress contrary opinions |
| Escalating commitment: | continuing to invest time and money in a solution even when there is strong evidence that it is not appropriate |
| Postmortem, or after-action review: | disciplined procedure whereby managers invest time in reviewing the results of decisions on a regular basis and learn from them |
| • Premortem: | purposefully imagining a decision has been implemented and has failed miserably, and then identifying reasons for the failure so that problematic issues can be addressed in advance |