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Economics 2.5.3

Economics- Edexcel 2.5.3

TermDefinition
boom period when the rate of growth of real GDP is fast and higher than the estimated long term trend
depression prolonged and persistent downturn and where a nation’s GDP falls by atleast 10 percent
recession when an economy experiences 2 consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth meaning there is a contraction in the real value of goods and services produced
recovery phase after recession when real GDP starts to increase from the low point and unemployment begins to fall
slowdown weakening / softening of the rate of growth, real GDP is still rising but increasing at a slower rate
trough low point of economic cycle beyond which a recovery starts
causes of recession external events or shocks/tightening of monetary or fiscal policy/fall in asset prices or supply of credit/drop in business and consumer confidence
why does higher interest rates lead to a recession? more expensive loans and a fall in demand for consumer credit
why does higher taxation or cuts in government spending lead to a recession? lower real disposable incomes
austerity a set of economic policies a government imposes to control public sector debt
precautionary saving saving (non-expenditure of a portion of income) that occurs in response to uncertainty regarding future income
recession caused by inward shift of AD AD decreases leading to an increase in spare capacity, rising negative output gap and fall in real GDP(both neoclassical and Keynesian diagram)
recession causes(diagrams) inward shifts of AS or AD
stagflation persistent high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant demand in a country's economy
uncertainty the situation where future outlook for the economy is unpredictable
what does uncertainty do to households? job & income insecurity/prospect of pay cuts to protect jobs/real value of savings/access to credit/future for house prices
what does uncertainty do to businesses? revenue/low confidence/cancelled or postponed investment
benefits from falling UK property prices more affordable to first time buyers/improves geographical mobility of labour/less mortgage debt increases people’s disposable incomes/reduces demand-pull and cost-push inflationary risk(less pressure on wage rises)
risks from falling UK property prices fall in household net worth leads to a decline in consumer demand & GDP growth (higher risk of recession)/less housebuilding means loss of jobs/UK housing stock continues to age without new homes/reduction in government tax
impact of recession depends on business profits and capital investment(business fail & investment declines)/unemployment/government finances/inflation
long term economic effect of a recession rising structural long-term unemployment & risk of regional economic decline/low rates of investment reduces size of capital stock/ageing capital inputs have negative impact on growth of labour productivity
long term social effects of a recession falling real wages hit living standards and reduces AD/widens inequality of income, increases relative poverty & social deprivation/increases stress-related chronic illnesses/loss of social cohesion & threats to democratic institutions
hysteresis an event in the economy that persists into the future, even after the factors that led to that event have been removed
hysteresis recession when economy is disabled by recession there’s a risk of permanent loss of national output, e.g. loss of productive capacity, high rates of structural unemployment cause shrinking labour force
creative destruction the process of innovation and technological change that leads to the destruction of existing economic structures, such as industries, firms, and jobs
depression results from collapse in private sector demand, leads to sharp fall in employment with a resulting drop in real household income and spending power
signs that a recession turns to a depression sudden stop/collapse in employment/negative multiplier effects/businesses cut investment/growing business failures
Created by: jessharris
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