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Macro Midterm

Macro Chapters 5-8

QuestionAnswer
What is GDP? (Gross Domestic Product) Market value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year. Measured quarterly
average price level? Measure of the overall level of prices at a PARTICULAR POINT IN TIME
What are the phases of the business cycle? Expansion Peak Contraction Trough Expansion again
Expansions Expansions are longer than contractions Economy grows over time
Contractions Contraction = recession REALLY bad contraction = depression
What phase are we in right now? Expansion
What is a leading indicator? Variables predicting turns in business cycle. EX. Orders of equipment Stock market
What is a coincident indicator? Reflecting the business cycle as it occurs EX. Total employment Personal income
What is a lagging indicator? These variables change as a result of the business cycle EX. Interest rates The unemployment rate The duration of unemployment
What relationship is shown by the AD (Aggregate Demand) curve? Relationship between price level and real GDP demanded
Why does the AD (Aggregate Demand) curve slope down? Higher price level reduces wealth and spending
What relationship is shown by the AS (Aggregate Supply) curve? Relationship between price level and real GDP supplied
Why does the AS (Aggregate Supply) curve slope up? Short Run- firms do not adjust their price instantly to changes in the economy.
2007-09 recession Fall in housing prices 18 months Falling in wealth Financial crisis for lenders Falls in spending and AD GDP Decline 5% Employment fell 6.1%
Great Depression Post WWII average: 11 months
1973-75 Stagflation Widespread inflation Result: higher production costs decrease AS
What is measured in GDP The total value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year.
How often is GDP Measured? Every Year
Calculating GDP--expenditure approach What are the components? Consumption (70%) Investment Gov’t purchases Exports - Imports
GDP Expenditure What is the largest component? Consumption (70%)
GDP Expenditure What is the most volatile component? Investment
Calculating GDP--income approach Calculated by summing the value of resource costs and incomes generated during the measurement period.
Calculating GDP--income approach What is the largest component? Income
What are the limitations of GDP as a measure of output & social welfare? GDP only one measure of well-being for a nation
Other factors affecting well-being, equity, the environment Crime rate Education Health
The underground economy Unreported production of goods and services Drugs, Tips
Exclusion of nonmarket activities Unpaid work Housework
Nominal vs. real GDP--what’s the difference? Real GDP measures changes in production only Nominal GDP measures changes in prices AND production
Nominal GDP increases when.. • Price level rises • Output rises • Or both
Real GDP Increases When... • Output rises
CPI (Consumer Price Index) --What does it measure? Measures price level for goods and services used by typical urban consumer “market basket” Measured Monthly by Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
CPI (Consumer Price Index)- How is it measured? Cost of basket in year Z (Divided by) Cost of basket in base year X 100
What are some problems with the CPI as a measure of the cost of living? CPI overstates true inflation Imperfect accounting of quality improvements Fixed market basket
What is GDP Price Index A measure of the overall price of goods and services related to some base year.
How does GDP Price Index differ from CPI? -The GDP price index uses the prices of all the goods and services in GDP. -The CPI uses prices of consumption goods and services.
What is better? Real or Nominal GDP Real GDP Measures of changes in an economy’s productive capacity over time
Real GDP per Capital Real GDP (divided by) population Standard of living
Nominal GDP 2012 Value of 2012 output in 2012 prices
Real GDP 2012 Value of 2012 output in base yr. prices (2005)
Economic Growth % change in Real GDP/ (Divided by) Time economic growth
US unemployment Percentage 6%
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Household survey Monthly Survey 60,000 Households
Who is in the labor force? working for pay OR actively looking for work
Who is not in the labor force? children homemakers retirees prisoners full-time students
Calculating unemployment rate # Unemployed (Divided by) Labor Force (Times) 100
Labor force participation rate # labor force (Divided by) adult population (times) 100
What is the duration of unemployment? During a recession, median duration rises
Fricctional Unemployment People switch jobs Takes time, info to match people to jobs
Seasonal Unemployment Seasonal changes in labor demand
Structural Unemployment More Serious Changing economy and what/where skills are in demand Solution: retrain or relocate
Cyclical Unemployment Not enough jobs in total Due to a recession We are inside the PPF Solution: government stimulus
What do we mean by full employment? 4-6% unemployment No cyclical unemployment structural, frictional at minimum
Why is the goal of unemployment NOT zero? Frictional unemployment will always exist
What is inflation and how is it measured? increase in the average price level
What is the current Inflation Rate 2%
What causes inflation? Demand Pull, Cost Push
Cost Push Inflation supply side increase in cost of production cost increase passed on all prices rise stagflation
Demand Pull Inflation demand side production cannot keep up with consumer demand “too many $ chasing too few goods”
Why is Inflation a Problem? NOT BECAUSE COST INCREASE Redistributes income Creates uncertainty Causes inefficiencies
Shorter Time horizons (Inflation) Consumers, lenders, firms less willing to commit long-term GDP growth slows
Real interest rates = nominal interest rate – inflation rate
Nominal Interest Rates Stated interest rate
Problem with Unemployment Personal costs Lost output Lower tax revenue Loss of human capital
Deflation Decrease in Price Level
Disinflation Reduce the RATE of inflation
Uncertainty (Inflation) When inflation is high & variable Uncertainty about future prices Some investment not undertaken Some purchases not made Result: lower growth of GDP
What is GPD Per Capita measures improvements in the standard of living of a nation?
What causes GDP per capita to rise over time? Real GDP must increase more rapidly than population.
Short Run PPF Temporary Better use of existing production possibilities Move from INSIDE PPF to OUTSIDE PPF
Long Run PPF Lasting increase in output,& rising living standards Increase in productive capacity PPF shifts out
Measure economic growth by Percent change in real GDP annually
What is productivity? total output per unit of input (Times) Labor productivity* = total output per unit of labor
Why do we use labor productivity to measure productivity? Labor is largest production cost Labor is more easily measured
What is the per worker production function? Relationship between- Labor productivity Capital per worker
What is physical capital? Tools, factories, machines, computers, infrastructure
What is human capital? Knowledge and skills of labor
As capital per worker rises capital deepening Increases in labor productivity and economic growth
What affects productivity in practice? Intense Labor Capital Intensive
What do we mean by rules of the game? Institutions that promote economic activity
The role of research Expand base of knowledge Particular questions & product development
What is industrial policy? Government takes active role in nurturing domestic industries Tax breaks and subsidies
US Productivity Slowdown in 1970s Oil prices and stagflation Environmental regulation
US productivity Rebound in 1990 Information revolution Computer chips, internet
Formal Rule of game laws, governance
Informal Rule of game Corruption, Money Lending
Created by: rpm02044
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