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Chapter 11 Finance
| Risk is defined as uncertainty: | to refer to the variability of returns associated with a given asset |
| Risk is defined is the chance of suffering a financial loss | posibility that actual return might not equal expected return |
| what will we use to measure risk? | standard deviation and coefficient of variation |
| Concept for risk: | the greater the variability, the greater the risk |
| return: | total percentage gain or lost on an investment |
| Measuring Return: ex-ante | required return & actual return |
| measuring return: ex-post | actual return |
| cumulative return: | link monthly returns together. accounts for reinvesting (compounding) |
| expected return (ex-post) | historical returns. assumes that each scenario has the same probability. probability-weighted average return |
| measuring risk has what two conditions: | uncertainty, possibility that actual return does not equal expected return |
| risk = | variability |
| Risk does not just "You lost money!" it is... | how far away on average is each observation from the expected value.what is the st dev from the mean |
| Probability distribution: | return under different scenarios, probability of each scenario occuring |
| standard deviation: ex ante- | dispersion around the asset's expected return, measure absolute risk |
| coefficient of variation | measure of relative dispersion that is useful in comparing risks of assets with differing expected returns |
| risk aversion | seek higher return to compensate for higher risk |
| how is risk-return trade-off for a portfolio measured by? | the portfolio expected return and standard deviation (just as individual assets) |
| if we assume that all investors are rational and risk averse..... | that investor will always choose to invest in portfolios rather than in single assets |
| investors will hold portfolios because... | he or she will diversify away a portion of the risk that is inherent in "putting all your eggs in one basket" |
| the lowest coefficient of variation is.. | best! |
| Modern portfolio theory was who? | Markowitz |
| What was the old portfolio theory? | buy a bunch of stocks with low risk . this was bad because of railroad example. still diversified in companies, not industry. |
| diversification in finance is... | a risk mgmt technique that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio to reduce risk |
| sample risks that can be reduced by diversification : | a single firm becoming insolvent, single industry suffering a lostt in value, changes in weather, oil prices, etc |
| Think about this... how does a change in oil prices impact your portfolio if you own exon? | would drop but if you also own stock in trucking company |
| diversification is enhanced depending upon... | the extent to which the returns on assets "move" together |
| movement of how returns move together (diversification) is known as... | correlation |
| if there is perfectly positive correlation: | no diversification |
| if perfectly negatively correlated: | eliminated all risk. rare. |
| on average the correlation coefficient for the monthly returns on 2 randomly stocks is about. | .3 |
| Unsystematic Risk | Random events. diversifiable, firm specific risk. |
| Systematic Risk: | Affects whole market. non-diversafiable, market risk (can't get rid of it) |
| you only get compensated for holding what kind of risk? | systematic, non diversafiable |
| more systematic risk.... | more required return |
| Capital Asset Pricing Model does what | how much market risk exists with any given stock. Model for required return on asset |
| what is used to measure systematic risk: | beta |
| Beta: | extent to which security return changes relative to market. measures NON DIVERSAFIABLE RISK |
| Market risk premium = | market return-risk free rate |
| required return on investment = | risk free rate + [beta for investment x market risk premium] |
| what does CAPM tell us? | Required return for an asset = the risk free return + the risk premium for that asset |
| the risk premium is composed of what two parts | market risk premium & beta |
| Market risk premium: | the return required for bearing the market's level of systematic risk |
| beta: | risk coefficient which measures the sensitivity of the particular stock's return to changes in market condistions |
| CAPM relies on... which means that... | historical data which means the betas may or may not actually reflect the future variability |
| CAPM assumes markets are.. | efficient |
| an efficient portfolio is one that.. | maximizes return for a given level of risk |
| The relevant portion of an asset's risk, attributable to market factors that affect all firms is called | systematic risk |
| unsystematic risk is not relevent because | it can be eliminated through diversification |
| in CAPM, the beta coefficient is a measure of | non diversifiable risk |
| How can investors reduce the risk associated with an investment portfolio without having to accept a lower expected return? | purchase a variety of securities (diversify) |
| Which of the following has a beta of zero? | risk free asset |
| The portion of an asset's risk that is attributable to firm-specific, random causes is called | unsystematic risk |
| higher betas mean..... | higher systematic risk which mean greater expected returns |
| Reward to Risk Ratio | Slope = (Expecteted Rate of Return - Risk Free Rate)/ Beta |
| What does the Reward to Risk ratio tell us? | there is a risk premium of #% per unit of systematic risk |
| what must be the same for all of the assets in the market? | reward to risk ratio |
| synonym for market risks ex) GDP, interest rates, inflation | systematic risk |
| what is a synonym for systematic risk? | nondiversifiable |
| can be eliminated by diversification | diversafiable |
| another world for diversafiable risk | unsystematic risk |
| systematic risk principle | reward for bearing risk depends on systematic risk of an investment. EXPECTED RETURN DEPENDS ONLY ON THAT ASSET'S SYSTEMATIC RISK |
| Which one of the following is the vertical intercept of the security market line? | risk free rate |
| an underpriced security will plot where on SML? | above the security market line |
| the expected return on a security depends on which of the following? | risk free rate of return and market rate of return |
| Which one of the following is the minimum required rate of return on a new investment that makes that investment attractive? | cost of capital |
| If a security plots to the right and below the security market line, then the security has ____ systematic risk than the market and is ____ | more, over priced |
| dividend yield= | dividend/price |
| capital gain yeild= | (new price-old price)/Old price |
| total percentage return | capital gain yeild + dividend yeild |