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FQ10

Formula quiz 10

QuestionAnswer
point estimate a single number used to estimate a population parameter
confidence interval although a point estimate can be a reasonable approximation of a populatin parameter it is often safer to find an interval into which a parameter could fall
onfidence intervgals are intervals in the form of point estimate plus or minus margin of error
a one sample z interval it is used to estimate a populaton mu wehen the population standard deviation is known
the formula for a one sample z interval is xbar plus or minus zstar times sigma over root n
90% CI, z* is 1.645
95% CI, z* is 1.96
99% CI, z* is 2.58
assumptions fo rusing the formula for a one sample z interval 1) an SRS 2) sigma is known 3) either the sample size is larger than 30 or it's normally distributed
95% confidence means f we constructed a 95% confidence interval using every possible sample of the same size, the true population mean would lie in 95% of these intervals
the margin of error in in a confidence interval is the part of the formula that lies in back of the plus minus
make the margin of error smaller is we use a larger samole size or a lower confidence level
the smaller the confidence level the smaller, narrow, the confidence interval, asuming that the sample size is the same
msot of the time sigma is unknown, in large samples we may use s, the sample standard deviation, in place of sigma
steps used to confudct a test of significane 1) assumptions 2) null/alt hyp 3) calculate test statistic 4) calculate the pvfalue of the test statistic 5) interpret the results of the test (fail to reject, reject)
null hypothesis the statement that claims that there is no change in the population
alternate hypothesis states that whatever process wwe are testing has had an effet on the population
the pvalue of a significane test is the porbability computed assuming that HO is true that the test statistic would tkake a value as extreme or more extreme than that actaully observed, the smaller the pvalue is the stronger the evidence against HO provided by the data
if the pvalue is lessthan alpha we say tat our data is statisticall significant at this level and reject the null hypothesis
the test statistic for a one sample z test is xbar minusmu over sigma over root n
assumptions for a one sample z test 1) the population standard dev is known 2) srs 3) either the sample is large or the population is approvimately normal
if H0 is true and you reject Ho type 1 error
if HO is true and you fail to reject HO then it's the corect decision
if HA is true and you reject HO it's the correct decision
if HA is true and you fail to reject HO then it's a type 2 error
if asignificance test has a fixerd significane level of slpah then alpha is the probability of making a type 1 error
the probability of a type 2 error is denoted by the symbol beta
the probability that a fixed level alpha significance test will rejct ho when a particular alternative of the parameter is true is called the power of the test against that alternative
the power of the test is the proabbility that the nll hypothesis will be rejected if it is false
power of the test equals 1-prob (type 2 error)= 1- B
there are two ways to increase the power of a significance test a) increase the sample size b) increase the significance level
increasing the significance level increases the probability of making a type 1 error which, in turn, dcreases the probability of making a type 2 error, which amkes 1- B a larger quantity
Created by: lilee256
 

 



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