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mgmt212-final

marketing research final notes BIG FILE

QuestionAnswer
the iceberg principle the dangerous part of many marketing problems is neither visible to nor understood by marketing managers
managerial goals should be expressed in measurable terms
situation analysis informal gathering of background information to familiarise researchers or managers with the decision area,
Symptom: declining market share. Identify the problems. outdated product, new competition, shifting demographics (i.e. aging population and making retirement neighborhoods as an opportunity), inappropriate pricing
symptom: decline in profits. Problems: ineffective promotions, escalating distribution costs, improper channel structure
symptom: inability to gain channel participation. Problems: lack of product differentiation, misdirected promotions, inferior product image
symptom: decline in company sales. Problems: decline in industry sales (i.e. airline trend has been declining in recent years), increased competition
unit of analysis individuals, households, organisations, hotels etc. (in many studies, the family rather than the individual, is the appropriate measure)
variable anything that varies in value (for example, attitude towards airlines may be a variable ranging from positive to negative)
categorical/classificatory limited number of distinct values (i.e. gender, socio-economic status (SES), colour, size, etc)
continuous infinite number of values (i.e. sales, length, weight, age, etc.)
dependent variable Y - variable that is to be predicted or explained
independent variable X - variable that is expected to influence Y. can be manipulated by researcher, or be naturally occurring groups
key variables to measure: Demographics age, gender, race, income, religion, occupation, family size, geographic location
key variables to measure: Psychographics consumer activities, interests, opinions, attitude towards a particular issue (i.e. being 'green')
key variables to measure: product usage occasion (special use, gift), situation (climate, time of day, place), usage level (heavy, medium, or light)
key variables to measure: brand preferences level of brand loyalty, salient product attributes, product/brand awareness
key variables to measure: decision process size and frequency of purchase, propensity to purchase, risk of purchase (high, medium, low); product involvement (sponsorship)
A hypothesis unproven proposition or a possible solution to a problem
research objective the researcher's version of the marketing problem - explains the purpose of the research in MEASURABLE TERMS; and DEFINES STANDARDS for what the research should accomplish; and INFLUENCES DECISIONS about the research design
research proposal written statement of the research design that includes a statement explaining the purpose of the study and detailed outline of procedures associated with a particular methodology
research proposal stages (one through five) Problem definition, selection of basic research design, selection of sample, data gathering, data analysis and evaluation
stage one of research proposal problem definition: what is the purpose of the study, how much is already known, what is to be measured, can a hypothesis be formulated, etc?
stage two of research proposal selection of basic research design: what types of questions need to be answered, are descriptive or causal findings required, how quickly is the information needed, etc?
stage three of research proposal selection of sample: who or what is the source of data, is a probability sample necessary, how large a sample is necessary, how will the sample be selected, etc?
stage four of research proposal data gathering: who will gather the data, how long will data gathering take, how much supervision is needed, what operational procedures need to be followed, etc?
stage five of research proposal data analysis and evaluation: how will the data be categorised, what is the nature of the data, what questions need to be answered, etc?
dummy tables helps managers gain a better understanding of the actual outcome from a research proposal; representations of the actual tables that will be in the findings section of the final report
secondary data collected by persons or agencies for purposes other than solving the problem at hand
secondary data benefits low cost, less effort, less time, at times the only way to obtain data
secondary data limitations collected for some other purpose/objective, no control over data collection, may not be accurate (i.e. bias), may be oudated (not useful, may need to make assumptions (assuming a normal curve, etc)
data sources secondary because they offer solutions to problems which are secondary to (in addition to) their primary purpose for existing. (i.e. yellow pages and google maps)
internal sources internal records (e.g. accounting data, sales reports, and customer databases)
external sources published data sources (e.g. census data, publications from trade associations or governments, etc.); computer retrievable databases (e.g. online databases)
Appraising secondary sources why, how and when was the data collected? Who has collected the data? What data was collected?
syndicated managed by a group of individuals or organisations that are combined to promote some common interest
syndicated sources i.e. ACNielsen ScanTrack - because information users have common information needs and the cost of satisfying individual user's needs are sometimes prohibitive
exploratory research laymen's terms not quite sure what the problem is so you need to get some background information to determine the right research problem
exploratory research in a nutshell defining research problems, developing and/or pretesting questionnaires, generating and/or evaluating new product concepts
orientation qualitative research methods learning more about consumers (e.g. culture, needs, etc.)
Clinical Research gaining insight into topics that would be difficult to pursue using structured research methods (e.g. the real underlying causes of behaviour)
Research goals/objectives: qualitative methods discover/identification of new ideas, thoughts, feelings; initial insights on and understanding of ideas and objects
research goals/objectives: quantitative methods validation of facts, estimates, relationships, predictions
type of research: qualitative methods normally exploratory designs
type of research: quantitative methods descriptive and causal designs (running experiments - manipulating something)
types of questions: qualitative methods open-ended, semi-structured, unstructured, deep probing
types of questions: quantitative methods mostly structured
time of execution: qualitative methods relatively short time frames
time of execution: quantitative methods usually significantly longer time frames
representativeness: qualitative methods small samples, limited to the sampled respondents
representativeness: quantitative methods large samples, normally good representation of target populations
type of analyses: qualitative methods debriefing, subjective, content, interpretive, semiotic analyses
type of analyses: quantitative methods statistical, descriptive, causal predictions and relationships
researcher skills: qualitative methods interpersonal communications, observations, interpretive skills
researcher skills: quantitative methods scientific, statistical procedure, and translation skills; and some subjective interpretive skills
generalisability of results: qualitative methods very limited; only preliminary insights and understanding (wouldn't base big decisions on this alone)
generalisability of results: quantitative methods usually very good; inferences about facts, estimates of relationships
exploratory research is conducted for three purposes: diagnosing a situation, screening alternatives, discovering new ideas
exploratory research is useful when: the researcher has limited amount of experience or knowledge about a research issue
exploratory research provides which type of data? qualitative. Focusing on words and observations
exploratory research - purpose one: diagnosing a situation: helps set priorities for research, gather information on an unfamiliar topic, clarify the market research problem
exploratory research - purpose two: screening alternatives: used to determine the best alternatives when there are budget constraints; concept testing
concept testing purpose is to test a new, revised, or repositioned product or service
exploratory research - purpose three: discovering new ideas: used to generate ideas for new products, advertising copy, etc.; uncovering consumer needs (e.g. determine what problems consumers have with a product category)
observational techniques - information about people can be observed through their: physical actions, expressive behaviours, temporal behaviour patterns, spacial relationships and locations, physical objects
observational techniques: physical actions shopping trip patterns. i.e. if you see 3 furniture shops sitting next to each other and think well that's a bad idea think again - much better than being isolated
observational techniques: expressive behaviours facial expressions
observational techniques: temporal behaviour patterns time spent at a website
observational techniques: spatial relationships and locations crowding studies
observational techniques: physical objects products bought at a supermarket; i.e. beer and nappies sold together
observational techniques: appropriate conditions for use information condition, type-of-data condition, time-frame condition, setting condition
observational techniques: information condition if current behaviour patterns are important to the study
observational techniques: type-of-data condition when motivations, attitudes, feelings, etc. are unimportant
observational techniques: time-frame condition behaviours need to occur within a short time span
observational techniques: setting condition limited to settings where behaviour can be observed
observational techniques: unique characteristics directness of observation, subjects' awareness of being observed, structure of observation, type of observing mechanism
observational techniques: directness of observation can use either direct or indirect observation
observational techniques: subjects' awareness of being observed can use disguised or undisguised observation
observational techniques: structure of observation can use structured or unstructured techniques
observational techniques: type of observing mechanism can use human observers or mechanical devices
Benefits of observational techniques accuracy of actual behaviour, reduction of confounding factors, in-depth detailed behavioural data
Limitations of observational techniques difficulty of generalising results, inability to explain behaviours or events, complexity of setting and recording oh behaviours or events
Focus Groups Obtaining possible ideas or solutions to a marketing problem from a group of respondents via discussion
Focus Group Composition typically involve 6-12 participants; relatively homogeneous; three or four groups usually sufficient
Focus Group Environmental Conditions mood as relaxed and natural as possible; cameras/one-way mirrors used to allow observation by others who aren't in the room
Focus Groups: the Moderator helps people relax; develops rapport; promotes interaction among its members; listens to what people have to say; everyone gets a chance to speak
Discussion Guide A document prepared by the focus group moderator that contains remarks about the nature of the group and outlines the topics or questions to be addressed
Advantages of Focus Groups fast, inexpensive, and easy to execute, numerous topics can be discussed and many insights can be gained; synergy; snowballing; serendipity; security; spontaneity
synergy combined effort of the group will produce a wider range of information, insights, and ideas (especially beneficial when trying to think of new product ideas)
snowballing bandwagon effect where a comment from one individual triggers a chain of responses from others. Includes brainstorming
serendipity more often that some idea drops out of the blue. also greater opportunity to develop an idea to its full potential
security individual can find some comfort when others share similar feelings
spontaneity individual responses can be more spontaneous if they are not required to answer any given question (as opposed to yes/no question and answers)
Shortcomings of Focus Groups require sensitive and effective moderators that encourage group without being intrusive; since participants are screened to have similar backgrounds and experiences, they may not be representative of the entire market
Projective Techniques an indirect means of questioning that enables a respondent to project beliefs and feelings onto a third party, an inanimate object or a task situation
Word Association tests (projective technique) the subject is presented with a list of words, one at a time, and asked to respond with the first word that comes to his or her mind
Sentence completion method (projective technique) respondents are required to complete a number of partial sentences with the first word or phrase that comes to mind (i.e. people who drink beer are... ) This method is more open-ended rather than asking someone directly
third-person technique and role playing (projective technique) respondent is asked why a third person behaves in a certain way or what they think about a product.
thematic apperception test TAT (projective technique) the respondent is presented a series of pictures; then is asked to provide a description of or a story about the pictures
cartoon tests (projective technique) version of the TAT (thematic apperception test) where the respondent suggests dialogue for characters in a picture
In-depth Interviews: nondirective maximum freedom to respond (so long as discussion is related to area(s) of research interest); ask someone to open up and talk about whatever they want - can be problematic as they could easily go off tangent
In-depth Interviews: semi-structured or focused individual covers a specific list of topics or sub-areas (e.g. timing, exact wording, and time allocated to each question usually usually predetermined)
In-depth Interviews: experience surveys gathering opinions from knowledgeable people
In-depth Interviews: Protocol Interviews verbally expressing the decision-making process
Advantages of Qualitative Methods economically and timely data collection; richness of the data; accuracy of recording marketplace behaviours; preliminary insights into building models and scale measurements for more extensive research
Disadvantages of Qualitative Methods lack of generalisability; inability to distinguish small differences; lack of reliability of validity; difficulty finding well-trained investigators, interviews and observers
Research Design a framework or blueprint for conducting the marketing research project
exploratory research typically used to provide structure and insight into the research problem
exploratory research example using focus groups to determine key factors related to the use of a product
conclusive research tests specific hypotheses, examines specific relationships, makes predictions
conclusive research: descriptive used to describe something, usually market characteristics or functions
descriptive research example determining the average age of purchasers of your product
conclusive research: causal used to obtain evidence regarding cause-and-effect relationships; attempts to infer causal relationships between variables as opposed to describing variables
causal research example determining if increased advertising spending has led to an increase in sales
situations where descriptive research should be used describe the market size, buying power of consumers, availability of distributors; determine the proportion of total sales received by a company and its competitors; image studies which determine consumer perceptions of the firm and its products
situations where descriptive research should be used product usage studies, distribution studies, pricing studies, advertising studies
major data collection methods secondary research; survey research; experimental research
survey research systematic collection of information directly from respondents
survey research objectives attempts to identify characteristics of target markets; measure consumer attitudes and describe consumer purchasing patterns
survey research advantages easy to administer and record, accommodates large sample size so it's more generalisable, allows the use of advanced statistical analyses
survey research disadvantages can take a long time, problem with low-response rates, difficult to know whether respondents are being truthful
Person-Administered surveys in-home interviews, executive interviews, mall-intercept interviews, purchase-intercept interviews
Telephone Administered surveys can be conducted from a central location or from home
self-administered surveys direct-mail, mail panel (sent to those people who have agreed to participate), drop-off
online surveys fax, email, internet
surveys: types of questions structured, unstructured, undisguised, disguised
surveys: timing cross-sectional, longitudinal
cross-sectional study various segments of a population are sampled and data are collected at a single moment in time
longitudinal study respondents are surveyed at different times, thus allowing analysis of continuity and changes over time
surveys: situational characteristics budget, time frame, quality requirement (completeness, generalisability and precision)
Surveys: task characteristics difficulty of the task, stimuli needed to elicit response, amount of info needed from respondent, research topic sensitivity
surveys: respondent characteristics diversity, incidence rate, degree of participation (ability, willingness, knowledge)
experimental research the research manipulates one or more variables in such a way that its effect on one or more other variables can be measured
functional relationship an observable and measurable systematic change in one variable as another variable changes
conditions for valid causal inferences concomitant variation, time order of occurrence, absence of competing causal explanations
independent variable X; also called a predictor or treatment variable; its value is manipulated by the researcher; it is assumed to have a functional relationship with the dependent variable
dependent variable Y; also called a criterion variable; the measured outcome is derived from manipulating the independent variable(s)
control variables the variables a researcher controls so they do not effect the functional relationship between both the independent and dependent variables
extraneous variables variables that cannot be controlled; with randomisation, the effects of these variables will tend to average out
validity extent to which the conclusions drawn from an experiment are true
internal validity extent to which the research design accurately identifies causal relationships (i.e. rival explanations are ruled out)
external validity extent to which a causal relationship found in a study can be expected to be true for the entire population
X the EXPOSURE of an independent variable (treatment manipulation) to a group of test subjects
O the OBSERVATION (or measurement) of the dependent variable on the test subjects
[R] the RANDOM assignment of test subjects to separate treatment groups
EG the EXPERIMENTAL GROUP of test subjects
CG the CONTROL GROUP of test subjects (who are not exposed to the treatment manipulation)
-> a movement through time (normally left-to-right)
(EG): X -> O1 One-group Post-test: apply the experimental treatment to a subject/group and measure the results
one-group post-test example junk mail promotion - measure response from consumers
(EG): O1 -> X1 -> O2 One-group, Pretest-Post-test: improves control by adding a before measure
One-group, Pretest-Post-test example attitudes to smoking measured before, then advertising campaign administered, then attitudes measured again
(EG): X -> O (CG): O1 Static Group Comparison: improves control by adding a control group
static group comparison example junk mail promotion - measure response from consumers and compare with consumers who don't get promotion
Pre-experimental designs one-group post-test; one-group pretest-post-test; static group comparison
true experimental designs post-test-only control group; pretest-post-test control group
post-test-only, control group a popular and well practiced experimental design
(EG): [R] X -> O1 (CG): [R] O1 Post-test-only, control group: randomisation can "match" experimental and control groups, given a sufficient sample size
(EG): [R] O1 X -> O2 (CG): [R] O1 O2 pretest-post-test, control group
laboratory experiments: validity? high in internal validity, but low in external validity
laboratory experiments experiments where the treatment manipulation is introduced in an artificial or laboratory setting; respondents may not respond naturally
Field experiments: validity? high in external validity, but low in internal validity
field experiments experiment where the treatment manipulation is introduced in a completely natural setting (e.g. test market)
test marketing essentially a controlled field experiment that is conducted within a limited market area which aims to examine sales potential & evaluate variables within a products' marketing mix
surrogate information error variation between the information required to solve the problem and information sought by the researcher
measurement error variation between the information sought by the researcher and the information produced by the measurement process
experimental error variation between the actual impact of the independent variables and the impact that is found to be attributed to the independent variables
population specification error variation between the population required to provide the needed information and the population selected by the researcher
frame error variation between the population as defined by the researcher and the list of population members used by the researcher
sampling error variation between a representative sample and the sample obtained by using a probability sampling method
selection error variation between a representative sample and the sample obtained by using a non-probability sampling method
non-response error variation between the selected sample and the sample that actually participates in the study
population complete set of observations about which an investigator wishes to draw conclusions - is defined by the interest of the investigator, is defined in terms of observations rather than people
sample part of the population; study it in the hope that it will lead to meaningful conclusions about the target population; is defined in terms of observations rather than people
statistic a descriptive index (mean, proportion, percentage, etc.) of a sample
parameter a descriptive index (i.e. mean, proportion, percentage, etc.) of a population
census measurement of all members of the population
central limit theorem the sampling distribution of the mean derived from a simple random sample will be approximately normally distributed, provided the sample size is sufficiently large (n >= 30)
sampling process (5 steps) define population, determine sampling frame, select sampling method, determine sample size, select sample
sampling process - step 1 define population: isolate the characteristics of the observations in the population which are required to answer the research question
sampling process - step 2 determine sample frame: the list of all eligible sample units from which the sample will be drawn (e.g. telephone directories, electoral registers, company lists, club membership lists, etc)
sampling process - step 3 selection of sampling method: probability/non-probability, single unit/cluster, unstratified/stratified, equal/unequal probability, single stage/multistage
sampling method: probability sample one in which the sampling units are selected by chance and for which there is a known chance of each unit being selected (i.e. simple random, systematic, stratified)
sampling method: non-probability sample one in which chance selection procedures are not used (i.e. convenience, judgment, referral, quota, purposive)
probability sample: simple random each unit has an identical chance of selection, using blind draw or a table of random numbers
probability sample: systematic the sample is drawn by selecting a random starting point and selecting every xth element in succession (x is skip interval)
probability sample: stratified the target population is divided into mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive sub-populations or strata - a random sample is taken from each strata
mutually exclusive every element in the population must be assigned to only one stratum
collectively exhausted no population element can be excluded
non-probability sample: convenience only criterion for selecting the sampling units is the convenience of the sampler
non-probability sample: judgment an attempt is made to draw a sample of the population using an educated guess - useful if broad population inferences are not required
non-probability sample: referral snowball - participants provide names of other potential sample units - characteristics will be similar to the person referring
non-probability sample: quota define the sample in such a way that the demographic characteristics of interest are in the same proportion as they are in the population - the sample elements are selected based on convenience or judgment
non-probability sample: purposive sample is chosen to achieve some objective, such as heavy users, frequent viewers, small population sub-samples
selection of sampling method: single unit sample each unit is selected separately (i.e. individuals)
selection of sampling method: cluster sample units are selected in groups (i.e. households)
selection of sampling method: unequal unit probability sampling if variation in expenditure is less for one group, reduce sample size of that group and reallocate share to other groups with higher expenditure variation
sampling process - step 4 sample size determination: arbitrary, conventional, cost basis, statistical analysis, confidence interval
arbitrary sample size determination rule of thumb (e.g. 5% of the population)
conventional sample size determination based on a standard (e.g. 8 in a focus group)
cost basis sample size determination determined by budget
statistical analysis sample size determination some techniques require a minimum sample size
confidence interval sample size determination statistically determined and most accurate method
confidence interval - variability the more variability (standard deviation), the larger the sample size required
confidence interval - confidence the higher the confidence required, the larger the sample size required
confidence interval - precision (standard error) the more precise the results required, the larger the sample size required
sampling process - step 5 selecting the sample: need to uphold the sampling method throughout the sampling process
selecting the sample if we start using a random sampling method, but we have a low response rate, we shouldn't then change to snowball sampling, we should re-sample the population using random sampling.
sampling errors difference between the observed values of a variable (i.e. sample mean) and long-run average of the observed values in repetitions of the measurement (i.e. population mean)
sampling distribution reflects the fact that the different possible samples that could be drawn under the sampling plan will produce different estimates of the population parameter
non-sampling errors reflect bias that occurs regardless of whether a sample or census was used; can't be estimated
random errors produce estimates that vary from the true value; sometimes estimates are above and sometimes below the true value
non-random errors most troublesome, tend to produce mistakes only in one direction, bias the sample value away from the population parameter
week 6 measurement s
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