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Marketing research

Lecture 3

QuestionAnswer
What conditions need to be checked to determine causality? 1. concomitant variation: extent cause X and an effect Y occur together or vary 2. Time order of occurrence: First X then Y 3. Absence of other possible causal factors: control other factors or hold constant
Third cause fallacy Does one cause the other? no there is a third cause
Experiments Common way to determine causality
Types of experiments - field experiment: implement in one market and not the other - lab experiment : show to one group and not the other
What can disturb the outcome and solutions? - other things going on in test markets and other markets - two experimental groups not being similar
How to eliminate all 'other causes' - Control for other variable things in analysis - Random assignment to groups
What're the three main approaches for experimental research? -true experiment -field experiment -quasi experiment
What are true experiments? Can determine causal relationships because the researcher systematically orchestrates a situation so that people in one way or another way. Often performed in a lab. also possible in surveys
Disadvantages of true experiments - manipulation makes the situation less like a real world situation - Evaluation apprehension -manipulation is usually between subjects
within subjects design The same participant tests all conditions corresponding to a variable
Between subjects design different participants are assigned to different conditions corresponding to a variable
Advantages of field experiments - setting more similar to real life situation - shoppers in their natural environment - less evaluation apprehension
Disadvantages of field experiments - Less experimental control - intervening variables
Advantages of quasi- experiments - Natural setting - heterogeneity in respondents - less evaluation apprehension
Disadvantages of quasi- experiments - Existing groups, no manipulation - no random assignment - less experimental control
5 important concepts for regression 1. Dependent variable Y, Independent variable X 2. Check R squared and ANOVA F for overall diagnostics 3. Check p-values( significance) 4. standardized coefficients 5. including nominal variables
Explanatory variables in conjoint analysis are often not interval/ ratio but nominal/categorical, so what extra effort is needed? - If independent variable is yes or no, recode to no=0 and yes=1 (1 is dummy variable) - If its categorical make dummy variable 1 less than there are levels
Important issue in regression : multicollinearity - Can't distinguish what causes sales change - hows up by surprising signs and parameters cancel each other
How to check for multicollinearity - high correlations in correlation matrix - Variance inflation factor per variable, VIF>5 is suspicious
New product development Conjoint analysis as a tool for better decision making
What're the 3 main conjoint methods? 1. Conjoint value analysis: respondents rate profiles on a scale 2. Choice based conjoint: choose preferred profile from a set 3. Rank ordering: rank order the profiles
Choice based conjoint advantage Greater realism/easier task
choice based conjoint disadvantages - less information per individual - Respondents have to understand several profiles at once - linear regression wont work, requires multinomial logit
Conjoint value analysis Respondents perform tasks; give evaluation grade of product profile, do this many times for different profiles. Use these grades to infer the utilities of individual attributes
Conjoint analysis decomposes utility into separate parts Assumption: product is a bundle of attributes, each attribute has a certain utility for a level. Utilities of these characteristics are computed with linear regression. Show mulitple manipulated products to get enough info
How to determine the attributes and levels that will be experimented with - use exploratory research, in house expertise, find the attributes and levels the customers care about - focus on attributes that can be changed - try have attributes have same levels to avoid number of levels effect (many levels seem more important)
What is orthogonal design? a way to reduce the number of questions, effects of attributes can be separated
Which attribute level do you leave out? The estimate of the levels indicate the change in rate relative to the one left out
Which attribute is most important? importance is calculated from the range of betas ( betamax- betamin). could also compute importance per segment.
Benefits of conjoint analysis -Estimate preference quantitatively instead of direct questioning and guessing -See which attribute levels are valued highly - focus on these in product development
limitations of conjoint analysis - all features cannot be incorporated -many observations needed - is utility really compensatory - answering more than 9 questions can be taxing - respondents don't have to live with their choice - metric conjoint
Created by: janasultan
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